China is now a consumption economy.

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You read correctly. China’s economy has switched the switch to a consumption economy.

At a recent press conference, National Bureau of Statistics noted the first three quarters this year saw consumption contributing to 55 percent to China’s growth figures. So yes, one more quarter in 2012 to go for an annual non-investment growth economy for China.

Revised Estimates

This would be the first time since 2001 that investment wasn’t the driving force behind China’s growth. Or second time if you include the revised numbers for 2011…

Mind you this is not the figures for GDP growth but the change in growth and how consumption is beginning to dominate this sector.

China's consumer-led growth | The Economist.

Winter Weather Warning For Mine Operations

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Arlington, Virginia. — US Department of Labor (DOL) issued it’s annual winter hazard alert. There are inert hazards mining operations face during cold weather. According to the DOL, mine explosions are most frequent between October through March.

There could be a number of reasons for this…

Winter Warning

Joseph A Main – assistant secretary of labor for mine safety and health.

“We know this season will bring weather that causes changes in the mining environment and can present certain dangers for working miners. We also know that there are precautions mine operators can take to alleviate these hazards and prevent accidents.”

Colder weather can increase:

  • limited visibility
  • icy haulage roads and walkways
  • freezing and thawing of high walls at surface mines, which can make them unstable

Colder temperatures lead to higher explosion rates largely from lower humidity and lower barometric pressure that adds to already seasonal drying…  primary reasons for previous mine explosions.

More info on winter mine explosions – MSHA News Release: MSHA warns coal mine operators about winter hazards [10/17/2012].

Niall Ferguson Criticism of Biden Debt Warfare

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Austerity friendly economist, Naill Ferguson, criticized Joe Biden during the VP debates in response to his lack of details to cut the $16 Trillion U.S. deficit. Equating Biden’s closing that “everything will be Okay” to ‘Irish blarney’.

What Biden Doesn’t Want You to Know.

Eurozone Versus The US: Austerity Lite or Austerity Heavy

Here is a quick snapshot how austerity and stimulus fared over the last four years in Europe vs the US.

US official unemployment levels are at 7.8 percent while Eurozone unemployment is over 11 percent. While net government spending in the US has gone down, (see state, local, and federal levels) Obama’s stimulus is seen as a ‘growth’ measure. The US at this point has been less focused on debt to GDP and more focused on lowering unemployment and increasing GDP output.

See Fed official who changed his inflation and QE3 position 180 degrees.

IMF Raises Red Flag With Austerity Measure

IMF has switched its stance on 180 degrees on debt and austerity. Previously, IMF has been an outspoken fiscal hawk, pushing for balanced budgets in the face of economic crisis. Less concerned over growth and pushing balanced budgets.

It turns out, these spending cuts may have made a bad situation worse. Here is what the IMF has said of global growth:

“At the Annual Meetings in Tokyo, the IMF’s policy steering committee called on its members to act decisively to break negative feedback loops and restore the global economy to a path of strong, sustainable, and balanced growth.”

“IMF members all agreed we are in better place today than we were six months ago. We are in a better position with regard to the policy footing to get growth started as well as fiscal consolidation,” Singapore Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said October 13 at the closing press conference of the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC).

Global Growth Concerns

The study pointing out the concern many economists like Paul Krugman, Martin Wolf, and Delong have long been decrying. There are 600 new jobs for the global economy that needs to be provided and no new prospects for creating them.

Goolish growth prospects have immediately increased net debt or debt to GDP while reducing future economic output.

While past studies by the IMF have exposed the myth ‘confidence theory‘ where the market will turn around as soon as they see governments balance debt, that didn’t stop participants in the IMF meeting from referring to it.

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